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What are you searching for?
Taking a look at the bleak situation for up-and-coming markets.
October 1, 2000
By: Loren Israelsen
Founder and President of the United Natural Products Alliance
Most everyone senses we have a problem: a near empty new product pipeline. What happened? The answers are becoming clear. We squeezed the life out of the top ten botanical extracts (mostly from Europe) by borrowing (a charitable description) the scientific and medical investments of a handful of companies who can no longer compete on price (because of the underlying costs of this research), with a host of generic equivalents being sold at far cheaper prices. The Supplement Facts Box has turned formulations and proprietary processes into percentages and ratios that, to consumers, make our products look and act the same. How is the consumer to know the difference between a truly superior and proven product versus one of highly uncertain quality or reliability? Consumer surveys and store sales data suggest people can’t tell the difference and are now buying our products largely on price. Why would anyone pay $17.95 when they can pay $7.95 for “the same thing”? The answer is that you wouldn’t, unless you understood there are important differences between many ostensibly similar products. For manufacturers and raw material producers, this reality has become a struggle for survival. Having used up and devalued many of the dietary ingredients with a rich scientific and medical pedigree (ginkgo, St. John’s wort and saw palmetto, for example), we are beginning to realize we chopped up the piano for firewood. How will we now invest in resources to create the next ginkgo or St. John’s wort? In my view, we won’t. Here is the current thinking of one of Europe’s leading botanical extract houses on this issue: “…the botanical products that have been introduced into the dietary supplements market, products like ginkgo, saw palmetto, silymarin, grape seed extract, St. John’s wort, etc., have all been developed as drugs in Europe. It took about 15-20 years for European drug companies to assemble full dossiers for these products. These products have now been exploited by [a] dietary supplement industry that wants new products, while the pipeline of old European products is now empty…for these reasons, we are thinking about decreasing our investments in this industry. We prefer to address our main efforts toward our core business, the pharmaceutical market, where the rules of the game are clear for everybody and where we have always historically been successful.” This view is shared by many of the leading European natural product houses. So realistically, we cannot look to Europe to bail us out of this R&D drought. Few domestic companies have or can commit the resources to an aggressive R&D program, but even if they could, why would they, having seen what happened to the Europeans? To give a current example of the scope of the problem, Paul Rubin, Ph.D., an Emory University economist, stated, “Dietary supplement companies would have to spend between $58 million and $348 million for NDA-type approval for each of six health claims they seek to make under FDA’s significant scientific agreement standard…approval for health claims for vitamin E/heart disease, folic acid/neural tube defects and omega 3 fatty acids/coronary heart disease would be $58 million each…In affidavits filed with FDA, the supplement marketers who have petitioned to use the six health claims say they cannot afford the $58 million minimum research investment estimated by Dr. Rubin…Julian Whitaker, M.D., says the sum ‘represents more than 50% of the average annual sales revenue of the companies to which I license formulas.'”
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